Early Down Syndrome Screening: Assessing Risk Factors - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Early Down syndrome screening - critical risk


Hello Dr.
Huang, I am 32 years old and currently 15 weeks pregnant with my second child.
At 12 weeks and 4 days, I underwent the initial Down syndrome screening.
The report indicated a T21 risk of 1 in 935, T18 risk of 1 in >2000, T13 risk of 1 in 16358, PAPP-A level of 2.865 µg/ml (0.55 MoM), free β-hCG of 47.22 ng/ml (1.16 MoM), and NT measurement of 2 mm.
Are these values considered normal? The T21 risk of 1 in 935 and the PAPP-A MoM of 0.55 seem to indicate a higher risk.
Based on the information on your website, should I proceed with the second trimester screening or go directly for amniocentesis? My first pregnancy also showed a higher risk for T21, and I opted for amniocentesis, which fortunately yielded a safe result.
However, this pregnancy's risk is right at the borderline, which makes me a bit hesitant.
Thank you for taking the time to respond!

chengshi, 30~39 year old female. Ask Date: 2017/12/07

Dr. Huang Jianzhong reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


At 32 years old, this is the second pregnancy, currently at 15 weeks.
An initial Down syndrome screening was performed at 12 weeks and 4 days, with the report indicating a T21 risk of 1 in 935, T18 risk of 1 in >2000, T13 risk of 1 in 16358, PAPP-A level of 2.865 µg/ml (0.55 MoM), free β-hCG of 47.22 ng/ml (1.16 MoM), and NT measurement of 2 mm.
Are these values all still normal? The T21 risk of 1 in 935 and the PAPP-A MoM of 0.55 seem to indicate a higher risk.
Based on your website, should I undergo a second-trimester screening or proceed directly to amniocentesis?
Answer: A T21 risk of 1 in 935 does not typically warrant amniocentesis.

Reply Date: 2017/12/07

More Info


When it comes to early Down syndrome screening, understanding the risk factors and interpreting the results can be quite complex, especially for expectant mothers who may have concerns about their baby's health. Based on the information you've provided, let's break down the results of your initial screening and discuss the implications.

Your screening results indicate a risk of 1 in 935 for Trisomy 21 (Down syndrome), which is considered a low to moderate risk. For context, a risk of 1 in 270 or lower is typically considered high risk, suggesting that your results do not immediately warrant invasive testing such as amniocentesis. The risk for Trisomy 18 (1 in >2000) and Trisomy 13 (1 in 16358) are both very low, which is reassuring.

The PAPP-A (Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein A) level of 2.865 µg/ml with a MoM (multiples of the median) of 0.55 is slightly below the expected range. Lower levels of PAPP-A can sometimes be associated with an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, including chromosomal abnormalities, but it is essential to interpret this in conjunction with other factors, including your age, family history, and the results of the ultrasound.

The free beta-hCG level of 47.22 ng/ml with a MoM of 1.16 is within the normal range, which is a positive sign. The nuchal translucency (NT) measurement of 2 mm is also within the normal range, as values above 3 mm are typically considered concerning.

Given that your previous pregnancy also showed a higher risk for Trisomy 21, it is understandable that you may feel anxious about the current results. However, the current risk assessment does not indicate a high risk for Down syndrome. The decision to pursue further testing, such as the mid-pregnancy screening (also known as the quad screen) or amniocentesis, should be made based on your comfort level and the advice of your healthcare provider.

If you are feeling uncertain, it may be beneficial to have a detailed discussion with your obstetrician or a genetic counselor. They can provide you with more personalized insights based on your medical history, the specifics of your current pregnancy, and the implications of the screening results. They can also help you weigh the risks and benefits of further testing options.

In summary, while your risk for Trisomy 21 is slightly elevated, it is not high enough to necessitate immediate invasive testing. Monitoring your pregnancy closely and discussing your concerns with your healthcare provider will help ensure that you make the best decision for you and your baby. Remember, the majority of pregnancies with similar screening results go on to have healthy outcomes.

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