Pregnancy Chances During Your Menstrual Cycle - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Probability of Pregnancy


Having intercourse on the 10th day of your menstrual cycle and again on the 22nd day, both with condom use and ejaculation inside the condom, presents a low risk of pregnancy.
Given that your menstrual cycle is 28-29 days, ovulation typically occurs around day 14-15.
Since the intercourse on day 10 is before ovulation and the intercourse on day 22 is after ovulation, the likelihood of conception is minimal.
However, no contraceptive method is 100% effective, so there is still a very small chance of pregnancy.

Nimen ma, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2019/02/08

Dr. Huang Jianzhong reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


On the 10th day of the menstrual cycle, intercourse occurred with a condom, and ejaculation was inside the condom.
The same happened on the 22nd day of the cycle.
The menstrual cycle is 28-29 days long.
What is the likelihood of pregnancy in this scenario? Answer: The likelihood of pregnancy is low.

Reply Date: 2019/02/08

More Info


Understanding the chances of pregnancy during your menstrual cycle involves a grasp of the menstrual cycle phases, ovulation timing, and the effectiveness of contraceptive methods used. In a typical 28-29 day cycle, ovulation usually occurs around day 14, but this can vary based on individual factors.
In your case, you mentioned having intercourse on day 10 and day 22 of your cycle, both times using a condom. Let's break down the likelihood of pregnancy based on these details.

1. Timing of Intercourse:
- Day 10: This is generally before ovulation. Sperm can live inside the female reproductive tract for up to five days, so if ovulation occurs shortly after day 10, there is a slight chance of pregnancy. However, since this is before ovulation, the likelihood is relatively low.

- Day 22: This is typically after ovulation, assuming a 28-day cycle. If ovulation occurred around day 14, the egg would only be viable for about 12-24 hours post-ovulation. Therefore, the chances of pregnancy from intercourse on day 22 are low, especially if ovulation has already occurred and the egg is no longer viable.

2. Contraceptive Method:
- Using condoms is an effective method of contraception when used correctly. They have a typical use effectiveness rate of about 85%, meaning that while they significantly reduce the risk of pregnancy, they are not 100% foolproof. Factors such as improper use or breakage can increase the risk of pregnancy.

3. Cycle Variability:
- It's important to note that menstrual cycles can vary. Some women may have irregular cycles, which can affect ovulation timing. If your cycle is consistently 28-29 days, then the timing mentioned is likely accurate, but any variations could change the ovulation window.

4. Conclusion:
- Based on the information provided, the chances of pregnancy from intercourse on day 10 are low, and the chances from day 22 are even lower, especially with proper condom use. However, if there are concerns about potential pregnancy or if your menstrual cycle is irregular, it may be beneficial to take a pregnancy test if your period is late or to consult with a healthcare provider for personalized advice.

In summary, while the chances of pregnancy in your described scenario are low, it is always wise to monitor your cycle and consult with a healthcare professional if you have any concerns about pregnancy or reproductive health. Understanding your body and cycle can empower you to make informed decisions about family planning and reproductive health.

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