Pregnancy Chances: Key Questions Answered for Women - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Pregnancy probability


Hello, doctor.
I do not wish to become pregnant, and I have a few questions regarding the likelihood of pregnancy.
Please help me with the following:
1.
My cycle is 31-34 days long.
My last menstrual period started on November 2, and my next period is expected on March 14.
If I engage in sexual intercourse between March 19 and March 23, what is the likelihood of becoming pregnant?
2.
My partner and I will use condoms throughout intercourse, but there is always contact with the clear fluid that is released when he becomes aroused.
Could this lead to pregnancy?
3.
This question may seem unusual, but I have heard of cases where someone became pregnant in a swimming pool, which makes me a bit concerned.
If a female has intercourse and is ejaculated inside, and then some semen flows out of her body, can the sperm still survive? If she then touches a piece of toilet paper, and the next person to use it wipes their genital area while they are in their fertile window, could this result in pregnancy?
Thank you.

Yoyo, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2019/02/25

Dr. Huang Jianzhong reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


1.
My menstrual cycle is 31-34 days, with my last period starting on November 2nd and my next period expected on March 14th.
If I engage in sexual intercourse between March 19th and March 23rd, is there a high chance of pregnancy? Ans: Yes, there is a high chance of pregnancy.
2.
My partner and I will use condoms throughout intercourse, but there is always contact with the clear fluid that is released when my boyfriend is aroused.
Is there a risk of pregnancy from this? Ans: No, there is no risk of pregnancy from this.
3.
This question is a bit strange, but I have seen news reports about someone accidentally getting pregnant in a swimming pool, so I am a bit concerned.
If a female has intercourse and is ejaculated inside, could the semen that flows out of her body still contain viable sperm? Ans: The story about someone getting pregnant in a swimming pool is false.
4.
If a female's hand touches toilet paper, and the next person to use the toilet wipes their genitals with that toilet paper while they are in their fertile window, could this lead to pregnancy? Ans: No, using toilet paper to wipe the genitals, regardless of whether the person is in their fertile window, will not result in pregnancy.

Reply Date: 2019/02/25

More Info


Understanding pregnancy chances is crucial for women who are either planning to conceive or want to avoid pregnancy. Here, I will address your questions based on current medical knowledge and provide insights into the factors affecting pregnancy likelihood.

1. Pregnancy Chances with Specific Timing: You mentioned that your menstrual cycle is between 31-34 days, with your last period starting on November 2nd and your next expected on March 14th. If you engage in sexual intercourse between March 19th and March 23rd, you are likely outside your fertile window. Ovulation typically occurs about 14 days before your next period, which in your case would be around March 1st to March 3rd. Sperm can survive in the female reproductive tract for up to five days, but since you are having intercourse about two to three weeks after ovulation, the chances of conception are low. However, it is important to note that cycle lengths can vary, and ovulation can sometimes occur later than expected.

2. Contraceptive Use and Pre-ejaculate Fluid: You mentioned using condoms throughout intercourse but expressed concern about contact with pre-ejaculate fluid (also known as pre-cum). While pre-ejaculate can contain sperm, the concentration is generally much lower than in ejaculate. If the condom is used correctly and does not break, the risk of pregnancy is significantly reduced. However, if there is any concern about the condom's integrity or if sperm comes into contact with the vaginal area, it is advisable to consider emergency contraception options if you are worried about unintended pregnancy.

3. Concerns About External Factors Leading to Pregnancy: Your question about the possibility of becoming pregnant from sperm that may have leaked out after intercourse is valid but largely unfounded. Sperm can survive outside the body for a very short time and typically do not remain viable once exposed to air or environmental conditions. The scenario you described involving a swimming pool or using a shared sanitary item is highly unlikely to result in pregnancy. Sperm need a specific environment to survive and reach the egg, which is not provided in these situations.
In summary, while the chances of becoming pregnant can vary based on timing, contraceptive use, and external factors, understanding your cycle and using contraception correctly are key to managing pregnancy risks. If you have further concerns or specific situations that may not be covered here, consulting with a healthcare provider can provide personalized advice and peace of mind.

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