Pregnancy Chances with Irregular Cycles and PCOS - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Probability of Pregnancy


Hello doctor, my girlfriend's last menstrual period started on January 30, and it was expected to arrive on March 8, but it was delayed and only came on March 27.
We had sexual intercourse on February 8, 9, and 10.
She took a pregnancy test on March 9, which showed one line.
Now, on March 28, it is the second day of her period, and there is a small amount of brown discharge.
She has a polycystic ovarian condition.
I would like to ask the doctor, what is the likelihood of her being pregnant?

Ni Ke, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2020/03/28

Dr. Wu Xianghui reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


For pregnancy concerns, please perform a home pregnancy test or consult a specialist in obstetrics and gynecology for evaluation four weeks after sexual intercourse.

Reply Date: 2020/03/28

More Info


Understanding the chances of pregnancy, especially in the context of irregular menstrual cycles and conditions like Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS), can be quite complex. Based on the information provided, your girlfriend has a history of irregular cycles, with her last menstrual period starting on January 30 and a delayed period that finally arrived on March 27. Additionally, she has a known condition of PCOS, which can significantly affect ovulation and menstrual regularity.

PCOS is a common hormonal disorder that can lead to irregular menstrual cycles due to anovulation (lack of ovulation). Women with PCOS often experience infrequent or prolonged menstrual periods, and this can make predicting ovulation and, consequently, the chances of conception more challenging. In your girlfriend's case, the irregularity of her cycles means that determining her fertile window is not straightforward.

The fact that you had sexual intercourse on February 8, 9, and 10, and that she tested negative for pregnancy on March 9, suggests that conception may not have occurred during that cycle. The negative pregnancy test indicates that, at that time, there was no detectable hCG (human chorionic gonadotropin) in her urine, which is a hormone produced during pregnancy. However, it is essential to consider that the timing of ovulation can vary, especially in women with irregular cycles. If ovulation occurred later than expected, it is possible that a pregnancy could have occurred after the test was taken.

The presence of brown discharge after her period started could be attributed to several factors, including the normal shedding of the uterine lining or hormonal fluctuations associated with PCOS. It is not uncommon for women with PCOS to experience variations in their menstrual flow, including spotting or changes in the color of menstrual blood.

Given these factors, the chances of pregnancy in your girlfriend's situation are influenced by several variables:
1. Timing of Intercourse: If ovulation occurred shortly after the sexual activity, there could be a chance of conception. However, if ovulation did not occur or if it was too late in the cycle, the likelihood decreases.

2. Irregular Cycles: With irregular cycles, predicting ovulation can be difficult. Women with PCOS may benefit from tracking ovulation through methods such as ovulation predictor kits, basal body temperature charting, or monitoring cervical mucus changes.

3. Hormonal Factors: PCOS can lead to hormonal imbalances that affect ovulation. If your girlfriend is experiencing significant irregularities, it may be beneficial for her to consult with a healthcare provider for further evaluation and management options.

4. Overall Health: Factors such as weight, diet, and lifestyle can also impact fertility in women with PCOS. Maintaining a healthy lifestyle can improve the chances of regular ovulation.

In conclusion, while the chances of pregnancy in your girlfriend's case may be lower due to her irregular cycles and PCOS, it is not impossible. If she continues to have concerns about her menstrual cycle or fertility, it would be advisable for her to seek guidance from a healthcare professional specializing in reproductive health. They can provide personalized advice and potential treatment options to help regulate her cycles and improve her chances of conception in the future.

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