Possible Conception Dates with Irregular Menstrual Cycles - Obstetrics and Gynecology

Share to:

Possible time of conception


Hello, Doctor.
I would like to ask you about my situation.
I have been diagnosed with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) and have experienced irregular menstrual cycles for a long time.
In 2020, I did not seek any medical intervention for the entire year, and my periods came regularly every two months.
The dates of my last three menstrual cycles were as follows: July 3 to July 8, 2020 (6 days); September 3 to September 8, 2020 (6 days); and November 3 to November 9, 2020 (7 days).
After my period on November 3, 2020, I expected my next period to arrive on January 3, 2021, but it did not come, so I took a pregnancy test.

My husband and I had unprotected intercourse on the evening of December 5, 2020, and then again intermittently from December 30, 2020, to January 5, 2021, for a total of eight days, all without protection.
On January 19, 2021, I took a urine pregnancy test at the obstetrics and gynecology clinic, which confirmed that I was pregnant.
Due to my irregular menstrual cycles, I did not track my ovulation days.
On February 18, 2021, I had an ultrasound at the clinic, which confirmed the pregnancy with a fetal size of 1.55 cm, indicating 8 weeks and 1 day or 7 weeks and 6 days of gestation, with a heartbeat detected.
The estimated due date for the baby is between September 29 and October 1, 2021.

I would like to know if the possible conception date (ovulation date) could be from the intercourse on December 5, 2020, or during the period from December 30, 2020, to January 5, 2021.
Thank you very much for taking the time to clarify this for me!

Niming, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2021/07/28

Dr. Wu Xianghui reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


It is not possible to determine; please estimate the due date based on the embryo data from the vaginal ultrasound.

Reply Date: 2021/07/28

More Info


Understanding conception dates can be particularly challenging for individuals with irregular menstrual cycles, such as those caused by polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS). In your case, the irregularity of your menstrual cycle makes it difficult to pinpoint the exact ovulation date, which is crucial for determining potential conception dates.

Based on the information you provided, your menstrual cycle was irregular, with periods occurring approximately every two months. Your last recorded menstrual period began on November 3, 2020, and lasted until November 9, 2020. Given that your cycles were irregular, estimating your ovulation date can be tricky. Typically, ovulation occurs about 14 days before the start of your next period. However, since your cycles vary, this estimation may not be accurate.

If we consider your last menstrual period (LMP) on November 3, 2020, and assume a typical luteal phase of around 14 days, ovulation would likely have occurred around November 17, 2020. However, due to the irregular nature of your cycles, this is just a rough estimate.
You mentioned having unprotected intercourse on December 5, 2020, and again from December 30, 2020, to January 5, 2021. Given that sperm can live inside the female reproductive tract for up to five days, both of these instances could potentially lead to conception.
1. December 5, 2020: If you ovulated around November 17, 2020, the intercourse on December 5 would be outside of the typical fertile window, as it would be too late for that cycle. However, if your cycle was longer than usual, it’s possible that ovulation occurred later than estimated.

2. December 30, 2020 - January 5, 2021: This period is more likely to be associated with conception. If you ovulated later in your cycle, around the end of December, then intercourse during this time could have resulted in pregnancy.
Given that you confirmed your pregnancy on January 19, 2021, and the ultrasound indicated a gestational age of approximately 8 weeks, it aligns more closely with the later intercourse dates. The estimated due date of September 29 to October 1, 2021, further supports this, as it corresponds with a conception window around late December.

In summary, while it is difficult to pinpoint the exact date of conception due to the irregularity of your cycles, it is more plausible that conception occurred during the period of December 30, 2020, to January 5, 2021, rather than on December 5.
For future reference, if you continue to experience irregular cycles, it may be beneficial to consult with a healthcare provider who can offer guidance on managing PCOS and possibly help you track ovulation more effectively. Methods such as ovulation predictor kits, basal body temperature tracking, or ultrasound monitoring can provide more accurate insights into your ovulation patterns, which can be particularly helpful when planning for conception.

Similar Q&A

Determining Possible Conception Dates Based on Irregular Menstrual Cycle

Based on your menstrual cycle irregularities, with periods on June 12, July 25, September 3, and no period in October, and a pregnancy test on January 2 showing 11 weeks and 5 days of gestation, the possible dates of conception would likely be around the time of unprotected inter...


Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, based on the information you mentioned, it could possibly be related to the event on January 21st, but this is all speculative, and sometimes there can be a difference of a few days. Wishing you good health.

[Read More] Determining Possible Conception Dates Based on Irregular Menstrual Cycle


Determining Your Most Likely Conception Date: A Guide for Women

I have polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) with irregular menstrual cycles. My last menstrual period was on March 28. During my ultrasound on June 30, I was 7 weeks and 2 days pregnant, with an estimated due date of February 14. However, the subsequent two ultrasounds adjusted the d...


Dr. Huang Jianzhong reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Irregular menstruation due to polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) was noted, with the last menstrual period on March 28. During the ultrasound on June 30, the gestational age was determined to be 7 weeks and 2 days, with an estimated due date of February 14. However, the subsequent ...

[Read More] Determining Your Most Likely Conception Date: A Guide for Women


Estimating Conception Date Based on Irregular Menstrual Cycle

Hello, my last menstrual period was on January 26, and I have irregular cycles. I had a blood test on March 14 that indicated a pregnancy of 2-3 weeks, and an ultrasound on March 21 that showed 5 weeks and 3 days. I would like to know approximately when conception occurred. Thank...


Dr. Huang Jianzhong reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
The last menstrual period was on January 26, with irregular cycles. A blood test on March 14 indicated a pregnancy of 2-3 weeks, and an ultrasound on March 21 showed a gestational age of 5 weeks and 3 days. Based on this information, the estimated date of conception would be arou...

[Read More] Estimating Conception Date Based on Irregular Menstrual Cycle


Understanding Irregular Periods and Conception Timing During Pregnancy

Hello Doctor, my menstrual cycle is often irregular. I had my period on March 4, did not have it in April, had it again on May 3, then on May 30, and then it didn't come until July 9. Each time it lasts about 6 to 7 days. I am currently 19 weeks pregnant and everything is no...


Dr. Lü Lizheng reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Typically, physicians estimate the gestational age based on the size of the embryo measured by ultrasound, and then infer the conception date from the gestational age. Generally, the estimated conception date derived from ultrasound measurements has an error margin of within one ...

[Read More] Understanding Irregular Periods and Conception Timing During Pregnancy


Related FAQ

Anovulatory Menstruation

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Menstrual Abnormalities

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Pregnancy Date

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Delayed Menstruation

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Due Date

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Ovulation Period

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Conception

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Menarche

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Premenstrual Syndrome

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)

Menstrual Cramps

(Obstetrics and Gynecology)