Pregnancy Chances: Timing and Early Detection Explained - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Probability of Pregnancy


On October 8, I had intercourse with my girlfriend, and on October 29, a pregnancy test showed positive.
We went to the obstetrics and gynecology department that day, and the doctor said the ultrasound indicated she was already five weeks along.
Given the timeline, it should have been three weeks if conception occurred on October 8.
The doctor must not have made a mistake, right?

Nìmíng, 30~39 year old female. Ask Date: 2022/04/04

Dr. Wu Xianghui reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


Early pregnancy assessments (less than eight weeks) may have inaccuracies.

Reply Date: 2022/04/04

More Info


Understanding pregnancy chances, timing, and early detection is crucial for anyone trying to conceive or who may be concerned about an unplanned pregnancy. In your case, the timeline you provided indicates that you had intercourse with your girlfriend on October 8 and received a positive pregnancy test on October 29, with a subsequent ultrasound indicating that the pregnancy was approximately five weeks along.

To clarify the timeline of conception, it’s important to understand how pregnancy dating works. Typically, pregnancy is dated from the first day of the last menstrual period (LMP), not from the date of conception. This means that if your girlfriend's last menstrual period was around September 30, then the estimated date of conception would likely be around October 15, which is approximately one week after the intercourse on October 8. The five-week measurement from the ultrasound would align with this, as it would suggest that the embryo is developing as expected.

The discrepancy you mentioned—thinking that if conception occurred on October 8, the pregnancy should only be three weeks along—stems from a misunderstanding of how gestational age is calculated. When a doctor states that a pregnancy is five weeks along, they are counting from the LMP, which includes two weeks before conception typically occurs. Therefore, if the ultrasound shows five weeks, it is consistent with the timing of your intercourse and the subsequent positive pregnancy test.

Regarding the accuracy of home pregnancy tests, they are generally reliable when used correctly. Most tests can detect pregnancy about a week after a missed period, which corresponds to roughly two weeks after conception. Since you tested positive on October 29, this timing aligns well with the expected results based on the gestational age indicated by the ultrasound.

In terms of early pregnancy symptoms, some women may experience signs such as nausea, breast tenderness, fatigue, or changes in appetite shortly after conception, but these symptoms can vary widely. It’s also important to note that not all women will experience noticeable symptoms in the early stages of pregnancy.

If there are any concerns about the pregnancy or if there are discrepancies in dating, it is advisable to follow up with your healthcare provider. They may recommend additional ultrasounds or blood tests to monitor hormone levels (like hCG) to ensure that the pregnancy is progressing normally.

In summary, based on the information provided, your understanding of the timing and the ultrasound findings are consistent with standard medical practices for dating a pregnancy. If you have further questions or concerns, it’s always best to consult directly with a healthcare professional who can provide personalized advice based on your specific situation.

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