What is the probability of becoming pregnant?
Hello, doctor.
My girlfriend's last menstrual period started on the 11th.
We had sexual intercourse on the 24th or 25th (I can't quite remember) with a condom that was properly worn, and I ejaculated outside.
The process lasted about five minutes, and we checked the condom with water to ensure it didn't break, then we switched to manual stimulation.
On the 27th, we prepared for intercourse again, and after putting on the condom, I wiped around it with tissue.
However, it seems I accidentally touched the wrong area, which caused my girlfriend pain, so we didn't continue.
This time, we didn't check the condom with water, but we continued to touch each other with our hands.
I would like to ask the doctor what the chances of pregnancy are from these two instances.
Thank you, doctor.
An An, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/04/13
Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, the probability of pregnancy should be low; just monitor the situation.
Wishing you good health.
Reply Date: 2023/04/13
More Info
When it comes to understanding the chances of pregnancy after protected intercourse, several factors must be considered, including the timing of the menstrual cycle, the effectiveness of the contraceptive methods used, and the nature of the sexual activity. Based on your description, let's break down the situation.
First, you mentioned that your girlfriend's last menstrual period started on the 11th, and the sexual activity occurred on the 24th or 25th. If her cycle is regular and typically lasts around 28 days, ovulation would likely occur around the 14th day of her cycle, which would be around the 25th. This timing is crucial because the days leading up to and including ovulation are when a woman is most fertile. However, since you used a condom and confirmed that it did not break, the risk of pregnancy from that encounter is significantly reduced.
In the first instance, you had protected intercourse and withdrew before ejaculation, which further decreases the likelihood of sperm entering the vagina. The fact that you checked the condom and found it intact is reassuring. Condoms are highly effective when used correctly, with a typical failure rate of about 2% when used perfectly, and around 18% with typical use. Given that you took precautions, the chances of pregnancy from this encounter are quite low.
Regarding the second encounter on the 27th, it seems that the sexual activity was interrupted due to discomfort, and no penetration occurred. Since there was no ejaculation and the condom was not used during this encounter, the risk of pregnancy is negligible. Even if there was some pre-ejaculate fluid (which can contain sperm), the chances of pregnancy from this situation are still very low, especially since there was no direct ejaculation.
In summary, considering both encounters, the likelihood of pregnancy is minimal. The use of a condom during the first encounter, combined with the withdrawal method, significantly reduces the risk. The second encounter, which did not involve penetration or ejaculation, further diminishes any chance of pregnancy.
It's also important to note that stress and anxiety about potential pregnancy can sometimes cause physical symptoms that mimic early pregnancy signs, such as nausea or breast tenderness. If your girlfriend is experiencing these symptoms, it may be due to anxiety rather than pregnancy.
If there are still concerns about pregnancy, it is advisable for your girlfriend to take a home pregnancy test if her period is late. Most home pregnancy tests are reliable and can detect pregnancy as early as the first day of a missed period.
In terms of future sexual health, it’s essential to maintain open communication with your partner about contraception and to consider additional methods if there are concerns about the effectiveness of condoms alone. Regular gynecological check-ups and discussions about reproductive health can also help in making informed decisions regarding contraception and family planning.
In conclusion, based on the information provided, the chances of pregnancy from the described encounters are very low. However, if there are any lingering doubts or if her period is delayed, taking a pregnancy test would provide clarity and peace of mind.
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