Is the probability high?
Hello, doctor.
Thank you for taking the time to read my question.
I had sexual intercourse with my boyfriend on March 18th (we used a condom, and he did not ejaculate, but there was pre-ejaculate fluid).
That day was almost the end of my menstrual period, which confirmed to have ended on March 19th.
My last two menstrual cycles were from February 3 to February 7 and from March 12 to March 19 (I took emergency contraception on February 27).
My next period is expected around April 12, but it has not arrived yet.
What is the likelihood of pregnancy in this situation? I am really anxious! Thank you for your response, and I wish you good health.
Niming, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/04/13
Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, the chances of pregnancy should be low.
Let's wait another week and see.
Wishing you good health.
Reply Date: 2023/04/13
More Info
When it comes to assessing the risk of pregnancy after unprotected intercourse, there are several factors to consider. In your case, you had sexual intercourse on March 18, using a condom, and your boyfriend did not ejaculate, although pre-ejaculate fluid (pre-cum) was present. You mentioned that this encounter occurred towards the end of your menstrual period, which can influence the likelihood of conception.
Firstly, it's important to understand the menstrual cycle. The average menstrual cycle lasts about 28 days, but it can vary from person to person, typically ranging from 21 to 35 days. Ovulation usually occurs about 14 days before the start of the next period. Given your previous menstrual dates (February 3-7 and March 12-19), it seems that your cycle is approximately 30 days long. If we assume your cycle is consistent, ovulation would likely occur around March 26. Since you had intercourse on March 18, this is before your ovulation window, which generally reduces the risk of pregnancy.
However, it is crucial to note that pre-ejaculate fluid can contain sperm, and while the risk of pregnancy from pre-cum is lower than from ejaculate, it is not zero. The presence of sperm in pre-ejaculate can lead to pregnancy if it comes into contact with the vaginal canal, especially if it occurs close to the ovulation period.
Now, regarding your concern about your period not arriving on the expected date of April 12, there are several reasons why your period may be delayed. Stress, hormonal fluctuations, changes in weight, and even illness can all affect your menstrual cycle. Since you mentioned feeling anxious, this stress could potentially impact your cycle as well.
To assess your pregnancy risk more accurately, consider the following steps:
1. Wait for Your Period: If your period does not arrive within a week of the expected date, it would be advisable to take a home pregnancy test. These tests are designed to detect the hormone hCG, which is produced during pregnancy.
2. Consult a Healthcare Provider: If you are still uncertain or if the test is positive, consult a healthcare provider for further evaluation and guidance. They can provide you with more accurate information and support.
3. Consider Emergency Contraception: If you are concerned about the risk of pregnancy from any sexual encounter, emergency contraception (like Plan B or Ella) can be taken within a specific timeframe after unprotected intercourse to reduce the risk of pregnancy. However, since you mentioned using a condom and that your boyfriend did not ejaculate, this may not be necessary in your case.
4. Monitor Your Cycle: Keep track of your menstrual cycle and any symptoms you experience. This can help you understand your body better and identify any irregularities.
In conclusion, while the risk of pregnancy from your described encounter appears to be low, it is not entirely absent due to the presence of pre-ejaculate fluid. If your period does not arrive as expected, taking a pregnancy test is the best course of action. Remember that stress and other factors can influence your cycle, so try to manage your anxiety and consult a healthcare professional for personalized advice.
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