Is the probability high?
Hello, doctor.
Thank you for taking the time to read my question.
I had sexual intercourse with my boyfriend on March 18th (we used a condom, and he did not ejaculate, but there was pre-ejaculate fluid).
That day was almost the end of my menstrual period, which confirmed to have ended on March 19th.
My previous two menstrual cycles were from February 3 to February 7 and from March 12 to March 19 (I took emergency contraception on February 27).
My next period is expected around April 12, but it has not arrived yet.
What is the likelihood of pregnancy in this situation? I am feeling quite anxious! Thank you for your response, and I wish you good health.
Niming, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/04/15
Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, it should be the safe period, and the likelihood of pregnancy is low.
Just observe and wait for another week.
Wishing you good health.
Reply Date: 2023/04/15
More Info
When it comes to assessing the risk of pregnancy after unprotected intercourse, especially during the menstrual cycle, several factors need to be considered. In your case, you had intercourse on March 18, just as your menstrual period was ending. You mentioned that you used a condom and that your boyfriend did not ejaculate, but there was exposure to pre-ejaculate fluid. This is an important detail because pre-ejaculate can contain sperm, although the concentration is generally lower than in ejaculate.
To evaluate the risk of pregnancy, we need to look at the timing of your menstrual cycle. You indicated that your previous menstrual periods were from February 3 to February 7 and from March 12 to March 19. This suggests that your cycle is approximately 28 to 35 days long, which is fairly typical. Ovulation typically occurs about 14 days before the start of your next period. If we assume your next period was expected around April 12, ovulation would likely have occurred around March 28. Since you had intercourse on March 18, this was before your ovulation window, which generally reduces the likelihood of pregnancy.
However, it is essential to note that sperm can survive in the female reproductive tract for up to five days. Therefore, if you were to ovulate earlier than expected, there could still be a risk of pregnancy. Given that you have not yet received your expected period, it is understandable that you are feeling anxious. Stress and anxiety can also affect your menstrual cycle, potentially causing a delay in your period.
In terms of the likelihood of pregnancy, if you used a condom correctly and there was no ejaculation inside the vagina, the risk is significantly reduced. However, since you mentioned the presence of pre-ejaculate, it is prudent to consider the possibility, albeit low, of pregnancy. If your period does not arrive within a week of its expected date, I would recommend taking a home pregnancy test for confirmation. These tests are generally reliable and can provide peace of mind.
If you find yourself frequently anxious about pregnancy risks, it may be beneficial to explore more reliable contraceptive methods. Options include hormonal birth control, intrauterine devices (IUDs), or other barrier methods. Consulting with a healthcare provider can help you find the best method suited to your lifestyle and needs.
In summary, while the risk of pregnancy from the encounter on March 18 appears low due to the timing and use of a condom, the presence of pre-ejaculate does introduce some uncertainty. If your period is delayed, taking a pregnancy test will provide clarity. Remember that managing anxiety about such situations is also important for your overall well-being. If you continue to have concerns, consider discussing them with a healthcare professional who can provide personalized advice and support.
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