What is the probability of getting pregnant?
Hello Doctor, my last sexual intercourse was on March 21 (we used a condom and I did not ejaculate inside; I also checked afterward for any damage).
The next day was my ovulation period, with ovulation occurring on March 27.
My menstrual period in April was from April 10 to April 16, but my most recent menstrual period should have been from May 26 to June 1.
It has now been 9 days late (since March 21, there has been no sexual intercourse, only mutual touching, and there might have been some bodily fluid from my penis accidentally touching the area near the vagina; I'm not very sure).
I would like to ask the doctor how high the chance of pregnancy is in this situation.
Thank you, Doctor.
Niming, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/06/05
Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, it seems that you are not pregnant.
Please monitor your condition for now.
Wishing you good health.
Reply Date: 2023/06/05
More Info
When considering the chances of pregnancy after protected intercourse, it is essential to understand the mechanics of conception and the factors that influence it. In your case, you had protected intercourse on March 21, just before your ovulation period, which was on March 27. The use of a condom significantly reduces the risk of pregnancy, provided that it was used correctly and did not break during intercourse.
Given that you have a regular menstrual cycle, with your last period starting on April 10 and lasting until April 16, it is important to note that a typical menstrual cycle lasts about 28 days, but can vary from person to person. If your cycle is indeed regular, you would expect your next period around May 10. However, you mentioned that your period is now delayed by nine days, which could be a cause for concern regarding potential pregnancy.
The chances of pregnancy from the scenario you described are relatively low due to the following reasons:
1. Contraceptive Use: You used a condom, which is one of the most effective forms of contraception when used correctly. If the condom did not break and there was no ejaculation inside, the likelihood of sperm reaching the egg is minimal.
2. Timing of Intercourse: Since you had intercourse just before your ovulation period, sperm can survive in the female reproductive tract for up to five days. However, since you did not have any further sexual activity after March 21, the chances of sperm being present during ovulation are reduced.
3. Pre-ejaculate Fluid: You mentioned the possibility of pre-ejaculate fluid coming into contact with the vaginal area. While pre-ejaculate can contain sperm, the concentration is typically much lower than that found in ejaculate. The risk of pregnancy from this scenario is still considered low, especially if there was no direct ejaculation.
4. Menstrual Cycle Variability: Delays in menstruation can occur for various reasons, including stress, hormonal changes, or other health factors. A delay of nine days is significant, but it does not automatically indicate pregnancy.
If you are concerned about the possibility of being pregnant, the best course of action is to take a home pregnancy test. These tests are designed to detect the hormone hCG (human chorionic gonadotropin), which is produced during pregnancy. Testing a few days after your missed period will provide the most accurate results.
If the test is positive, it is advisable to schedule an appointment with your healthcare provider to confirm the pregnancy and discuss your options. If the test is negative and your period does not start soon, consider consulting with your doctor to explore other potential causes for the delay.
In summary, while the chances of pregnancy in your situation appear low due to the use of protection and the timing of intercourse, it is always best to confirm with a pregnancy test if you have concerns. Additionally, if you experience any unusual symptoms or have further questions about your reproductive health, do not hesitate to reach out to a healthcare professional for personalized advice.
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