Pregnancy probability
Hello Doctor: My last menstrual period was from July 16 to July 21.
I have been taking oral contraceptive pills continuously for eight months, and I stopped taking them after finishing the pack on July 13.
Here are my recent basal body temperatures: July 21: 36.127, July 22: 36.27, July 23: 36.517, July 24: 36.217, July 25: 36.327, July 26: 36.277, July 27: 35.997, July 28: 36.117, July 29: 36.127, July 30: 36.527, July 31: 36.09.
I had unprotected intercourse with withdrawal on both July 29 and July 31.
Could ovulation have occurred between July 29 and July 31? What is the likelihood of pregnancy? Should I take emergency contraception? Thank you, Doctor.
Kk, 30~39 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/07/31
Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology
Hello, the probability should be low, but it is still recommended to take emergency contraception just in case.
Wishing you good health.
Reply Date: 2023/07/31
More Info
When considering the chances of pregnancy after stopping birth control pills, it's important to understand how hormonal contraceptives work and how the body responds once they are discontinued. Birth control pills typically regulate the menstrual cycle by providing consistent levels of hormones that prevent ovulation. Once you stop taking the pills, your body may take some time to adjust and return to its natural hormonal rhythm, which can affect ovulation and fertility.
In your case, you stopped taking the birth control pills after eight months of consistent use. Your last menstrual period was from July 16 to July 21, and you stopped taking the pills on July 13. The basal body temperature readings you provided indicate fluctuations that can be associated with the hormonal changes occurring in your body as it adjusts to the absence of the pills.
Typically, ovulation occurs about 14 days before the start of your next period. Given that your last period ended on July 21, ovulation would likely occur around August 4, assuming a typical 28-day cycle. However, since you have just stopped taking the pills, your cycle may not be regular right away. The days you mentioned (July 29 and July 31) could potentially be close to your ovulation window, especially if your cycle is shorter than the average.
Regarding the likelihood of pregnancy, if you had unprotected intercourse on July 29 and July 31, there is a possibility of conception, especially if ovulation occurs around that time. Sperm can live inside the female reproductive tract for up to five days, so if you ovulate shortly after these dates, there is a chance that sperm could fertilize an egg.
As for the need for emergency contraception (the "morning-after pill"), it is generally recommended if you have unprotected intercourse and are concerned about the risk of pregnancy. Since you had unprotected sex on July 29 and July 31, and if you are uncertain about your ovulation timing, taking emergency contraception could be a prudent choice to reduce the risk of unintended pregnancy. Emergency contraception is most effective when taken as soon as possible after unprotected intercourse, ideally within 72 hours, but some forms can be effective up to five days later.
In summary, while there is a chance of pregnancy given your recent sexual activity and the timing relative to your menstrual cycle, the exact risk can vary based on individual factors such as the regularity of your cycle post-pill. If you are concerned about the possibility of pregnancy, consider consulting with a healthcare provider for personalized advice and to discuss the option of emergency contraception. Additionally, if you are planning to conceive, tracking your ovulation through methods such as basal body temperature or ovulation predictor kits can help you better understand your fertility window.
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