Ovulation and Pregnancy Chances: Key Insights for Women - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Ovulation Period and Chances of Pregnancy


I would like to ask the doctor, my last menstrual period was from November 18 to November 23, with a cycle length of approximately 30-32 days.
I had unprotected sexual intercourse on November 28 (withdrawal method, with ejaculation occurring after pulling out).
My basal body temperature observation shows the lowest temperature today, December 4.
Using ovulation test strips, I tested on the evening of December 3 and got a positive result (T=C), and on the evening of December 4, C>T.
My questions are: (1) Is December 4 the correct ovulation day? (2) Is there a possibility of pregnancy from the intercourse on November 28? Thank you, doctor.

Ting, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2023/12/04

Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


Hello, around December 4th should be the ovulation day, so the chances of pregnancy are likely low.
Wishing you good health.

Reply Date: 2023/12/04

More Info


Understanding ovulation and the chances of pregnancy is crucial for women who are trying to conceive. Based on your menstrual cycle information and the details provided, let's break down your questions regarding ovulation and the likelihood of pregnancy.

1. Determining the Ovulation Day:
Your menstrual cycle is approximately 30-32 days long, and you noted that your last period started on November 18 and ended on November 23. Ovulation typically occurs about 14 days before the start of your next period. If we assume a 30-day cycle, ovulation would likely occur around December 18. However, since you are tracking your basal body temperature (BBT) and using ovulation test strips, we can refine this estimate.
You mentioned that on December 4, your BBT was at its lowest, and the ovulation test showed a peak on December 3, indicating a surge in luteinizing hormone (LH), which typically precedes ovulation. Therefore, it is reasonable to conclude that December 4 could indeed be your ovulation day, as the temperature drop followed by a rise is a common pattern indicating ovulation.

2. Possibility of Pregnancy from November 28 Intercourse:
The timing of your intercourse on November 28 is critical. Sperm can live inside a woman's reproductive tract for up to five days, so if you ovulated on December 4, the intercourse on November 28 could potentially lead to pregnancy. The fact that you had unprotected intercourse, even with withdrawal, means there is a chance of sperm being present and viable at the time of ovulation.
Given that your ovulation test indicated a surge on December 3, and considering the lifespan of sperm, it is plausible that the sperm from the November 28 encounter could fertilize an egg released on December 4. Therefore, yes, there is a possibility of pregnancy from that encounter.


Additional Insights on Ovulation and Pregnancy:
- Understanding Your Cycle: Tracking your menstrual cycle, BBT, and using ovulation predictor kits (OPKs) are effective methods for identifying your fertile window. The fertile window typically spans from about five days before ovulation to the day of ovulation itself. Engaging in intercourse during this window increases the chances of conception.

- Factors Affecting Ovulation: Stress, illness, and lifestyle factors can influence ovulation timing. If your cycles are irregular or if you experience significant changes in your health or lifestyle, it may affect your ovulation patterns.

- Signs of Ovulation: Besides BBT and OPKs, other signs of ovulation include changes in cervical mucus (which becomes clearer and more stretchy) and mild cramping or discomfort on one side of the abdomen.

- Consulting a Healthcare Provider: If you have concerns about your menstrual cycle, ovulation, or fertility, it is advisable to consult with a healthcare provider. They can offer personalized advice and may suggest further testing if necessary.

In conclusion, based on your cycle and the details provided, December 4 is likely your ovulation day, and there is a chance of pregnancy from the intercourse on November 28. Continue to monitor your cycle and consider consulting with a healthcare professional if you have further questions or concerns about your fertility journey.

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