Pregnancy Chances After Protected Intercourse: Key Insights - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Probability of Pregnancy


Hello, doctor.
My girlfriend's menstrual period was approximately from March 27 to March 31.
We had sexual intercourse on the evening of April 2, using a condom throughout, and ejaculation occurred inside the condom.
When we removed the condom, there was a thick liquid resembling semen on the outer tip of the condom.
Is it possible that this could be semen? It seemed like there was quite a bit, extending from the tip of the condom to the base.
Could there have been a spill? We conducted a water test afterward, and there were no holes.
What is the likelihood of pregnancy in this situation?

Kun, 10~19 year old female. Ask Date: 2024/04/04

Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


Hello, you should not be pregnant.
Wishing you good health.

Reply Date: 2024/04/04

More Info


When it comes to understanding the chances of pregnancy after protected intercourse, several factors must be taken into account, especially regarding the use of condoms and the timing of the menstrual cycle. In your case, you mentioned that your girlfriend's menstrual period was from March 27 to March 31, and you had intercourse on the evening of April 2, using a condom throughout the encounter. You also noted that there was a significant amount of fluid at the end of the condom, which raised concerns about potential leakage.

Firstly, it’s important to understand that condoms are one of the most effective forms of contraception when used correctly. They have a typical use effectiveness rate of about 85%, meaning that 15 out of 100 women may become pregnant within a year of typical use. However, when used perfectly, the effectiveness can be as high as 98%. The fact that you used the condom throughout the intercourse and that it did not break during the water test is a positive indicator that the risk of pregnancy is low.

Regarding the fluid you observed at the end of the condom, it is possible that this was indeed semen, especially if it was thick and appeared to be in excess. However, if the condom was intact and there were no visible signs of leakage or breakage, the likelihood of sperm entering the vagina is significantly reduced. Condoms are designed to contain semen, and if used properly, they should prevent any sperm from escaping.

In terms of timing, the menstrual cycle plays a crucial role in determining the risk of pregnancy. Ovulation typically occurs around 14 days before the start of the next period. Given that your girlfriend's last period ended on March 31, she would likely be in her fertile window around April 12 to April 17, assuming a typical 28-day cycle. Since you had intercourse on April 2, this would be just before her fertile window, which further decreases the likelihood of conception.

If you are still concerned about the possibility of pregnancy, it is advisable to monitor for any signs of missed periods or other pregnancy symptoms in the coming weeks. If her period is delayed beyond the expected date, a home pregnancy test can be taken for confirmation. Most home pregnancy tests are reliable and can detect pregnancy as early as the first day of a missed period.

In summary, based on the information provided, the chances of pregnancy appear to be low due to the proper use of a condom and the timing of intercourse relative to the menstrual cycle. However, if there are any lingering concerns, it is always best to consult with a healthcare provider for personalized advice and to discuss any further contraceptive options or methods to ensure peace of mind in the future.

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Hello, the chances of pregnancy should be low. Wishing you good health.

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