Fertility: Questions on Conception and IVF Success Rates - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Hello Dr.
Jan: Thank you for your previous guidance.
I have indeed switched to a different hospital and underwent a hysterosalpingography, and the report was normal.
The doctor prescribed ovulation medication for me to start taking on the fifth day of my menstrual cycle this month.
I would like to ask what additional tests should be done if I still do not conceive afterward? Also, what is the likelihood of not finding any infertility factors after all the tests? Would the only option then be in vitro fertilization (IVF)? I have heard from colleagues that some have spent tens of thousands without success.
Is the success rate of IVF inherently low? Additionally, my menstrual cycle is not very regular, as it comes 3 to 7 days later than the previous month, for example, May 14, June 17, July 24.
How many days is my menstrual cycle considered? How can I accurately calculate the safe and dangerous periods? Thank you!

Linlin, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2004/08/12

Dr. Zhan Deqin reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


A thorough examination is indeed necessary, and there are various procedures available.
Sometimes, taking ovulation pills alone is not sufficient; ovulation injections and artificial insemination (where washed sperm is injected into the uterus) may also be required.
Currently, the success rate for in vitro fertilization (IVF) in Taiwan is about 30%.
Your cycle is approximately 33-37 days, which is considered normal.
The ovulation period is roughly 14-15 days before your next menstrual period, around August 13-14.
The days surrounding ovulation are certainly considered the fertile window, but this is not absolute.
A more reliable method is to consider the week before and after menstruation as a safer period.

Reply Date: 2004/08/12

More Info


Understanding fertility and the various factors that influence conception can be quite complex. Your questions touch on several important aspects of reproductive health, including the effectiveness of fertility treatments, the implications of irregular menstrual cycles, and the overall success rates of assisted reproductive technologies like in vitro fertilization (IVF).

Firstly, regarding your inquiry about further tests if pregnancy does not occur after taking ovulation medications, it is essential to have a comprehensive evaluation. If you have already undergone a hysterosalpingogram (HSG) to check for blockages in the fallopian tubes and received a normal report, the next steps may include:
1. Hormonal Assessments: Blood tests to evaluate hormone levels, including thyroid hormones, prolactin, and androgens, can help identify any underlying hormonal imbalances that may affect ovulation and fertility.

2. Ovarian Reserve Testing: Tests such as an ultrasound to assess the antral follicle count or blood tests for Anti-Müllerian Hormone (AMH) levels can provide insight into your ovarian reserve, which is crucial for understanding your fertility potential.

3. Semen Analysis: If you haven't already, a semen analysis for your partner is vital to rule out male factor infertility, which accounts for a significant percentage of infertility cases.

4. Genetic Testing: In some cases, genetic testing for both partners may be recommended, especially if there is a history of recurrent miscarriages or unexplained infertility.

If all tests return normal and no specific cause for infertility is identified, it can be frustrating. However, unexplained infertility is a recognized condition, and it affects approximately 10-15% of couples trying to conceive. In such cases, many couples opt for IVF as a next step. While IVF can be costly and its success rates vary, it is important to understand that the success rate is influenced by several factors, including age, the cause of infertility, and the specific protocols used.

In general, the success rates for IVF can range from 20% to over 50% per cycle, depending on these factors. For women under 35, the success rate tends to be higher, while it decreases with age, particularly after 40. It is also worth noting that multiple cycles may be necessary to achieve a successful pregnancy, and many clinics offer financial counseling to help manage the costs associated with IVF.

Regarding your irregular menstrual cycles, it is crucial to track your cycle length accurately. The menstrual cycle is typically counted from the first day of your period to the day before your next period starts. If your cycles vary significantly, it may be beneficial to calculate the average cycle length over several months to better understand your pattern. For example, if your cycles are 33, 30, and 37 days long, the average would be approximately 33 days.
To determine your fertile window, you can use methods such as tracking basal body temperature, monitoring cervical mucus changes, or using ovulation predictor kits. Generally, ovulation occurs about 14 days before your next period, so if you have a cycle of 33 days, ovulation would likely occur around day 19. The fertile window typically spans a few days before and the day of ovulation.

In conclusion, navigating fertility challenges can be daunting, but understanding the factors at play can empower you to make informed decisions. Regular consultations with a fertility specialist, coupled with thorough testing and monitoring, can significantly enhance your chances of conception. If IVF becomes necessary, discussing your concerns and expectations with your healthcare provider can help you prepare for the journey ahead.

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