Pregnancy Chances: Key Insights for Concerned Couples - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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What is the likelihood of getting pregnant?


My girlfriend usually gets her period at the end of the month, sometimes pushing into the beginning of the next month.
The timing is irregular, but for the past two months, I've observed that it tends to start around the 22nd or 23rd.
The issue is that on June 19th, we had intercourse using a condom, and I withdrew before ejaculation.
However, her period was later than expected, arriving on June 27th.
I'm worried it might be implantation bleeding rather than her period.
According to her, the cramps were quite painful and there was a lot of bleeding, which could also be due to her frequent consumption of cold foods; I'm not sure.
Then, from June 27th to July 2nd or 3rd, her period ended.
On the 4th, we had intercourse again without a condom, just some grinding, and I did not ejaculate.
Afterward, I was concerned and gave her 1.5 mg of emergency contraception.
On July 9th, she experienced some bleeding, which ended on July 12th.
On the afternoon of July 12th, she used a pregnancy test, which showed one line, but we are still worried about the possibility of pregnancy.

What is the likelihood of pregnancy? Does the negative result on July 12th indicate that there was no conception from the June 19th encounter? When should we test for pregnancy again, and what is the probability of her being pregnant? Thank you, doctor.

Mr. Lai, 10~19 year old female. Ask Date: 2017/07/15

Dr. Cao Guotao reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


Hello, a pregnancy test is usually accurate only after 12 days post-conception.
The chances of pregnancy are low, so it's best to use contraception beforehand.
If your period is more than a week late, it's advisable to consult a gynecologist.
Wishing you good health.

Reply Date: 2017/07/15

More Info


Understanding the chances of pregnancy can be a source of anxiety for many couples, especially when there are uncertainties regarding menstrual cycles and contraceptive methods. In your case, there are several factors to consider that can help clarify the situation.

Firstly, it’s important to understand the menstrual cycle. A typical cycle lasts about 28 days, but variations are common. Your girlfriend's cycle appears to be irregular, with her menstruation occurring around the end of the month or the beginning of the next. This irregularity can make it challenging to predict ovulation, which is crucial for understanding the chances of conception.

Regarding the sexual encounters you described, on June 19, you used a condom and withdrew before ejaculation. This method, while generally effective, is not foolproof. The risk of pregnancy exists if there is any failure in the condom or if pre-ejaculate fluid contains sperm. However, since your girlfriend's period arrived on June 27, it is likely that she was not pregnant from that encounter. The timing of her period aligns with the expected cycle, suggesting that ovulation did not occur during that window.

The bleeding your girlfriend experienced on June 27 could be her regular menstrual period rather than implantation bleeding, which typically occurs about 6 to 12 days after conception. Implantation bleeding is usually lighter and shorter than a regular period, and it is often accompanied by mild cramping. Given that her bleeding was heavy and painful, it is more consistent with a menstrual period.

After the period ended on July 3, you mentioned another encounter on July 4 without protection, which raises concerns about the possibility of pregnancy. The use of emergency contraception (the "morning-after pill") on July 4 was a proactive step to reduce the risk of unintended pregnancy. Emergency contraception is most effective when taken as soon as possible after unprotected intercourse, ideally within 72 hours, but it can work up to 5 days after.

On July 9, your girlfriend experienced bleeding again, which could be a side effect of the emergency contraception, as these pills can cause changes in menstrual bleeding patterns. The bleeding might be lighter or different from her usual period due to hormonal fluctuations caused by the emergency contraceptive.

You mentioned that a pregnancy test taken on July 12 showed a single line, indicating a negative result. Pregnancy tests are most accurate when taken after a missed period. Since your girlfriend's cycle is irregular, it might be beneficial to wait a few days and retest if her period does not arrive as expected. If she continues to experience unusual bleeding or if her period is significantly delayed, it would be wise to consult a healthcare provider for further evaluation.

In summary, based on the information provided, the likelihood of pregnancy from the encounters described seems low, especially considering the timing of her menstrual cycle and the use of emergency contraception. However, if there are ongoing concerns about pregnancy or menstrual irregularities, it is advisable for your girlfriend to consult with a healthcare professional. They can provide personalized advice and possibly conduct further tests to ensure her reproductive health is in order.

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