Pregnancy Chances: Key Factors and Symptoms Explained - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Probability of Pregnancy


Hello, doctor.
My last menstrual period was from April 29 to May 5.
I tried taking traditional Chinese medicine (it was my first time) and my period is now three days late.
I have checked for pregnancy symptoms but have not found any.
I have been experiencing lower abdominal pain for a week, which I usually have as premenstrual pain.
I also tend to stay up late.
On May 10, 11, 17, and 18, I had unprotected external ejaculation, and on May 24, I had unprotected internal ejaculation.
I would like to know what the chances of pregnancy are.

An An, 10~19 year old female. Ask Date: 2020/05/29

Dr. Wu Xianghui reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


For pregnancy concerns, please perform a home pregnancy test or consult a gynecologist for evaluation four weeks after sexual intercourse.

Reply Date: 2020/05/29

More Info


Understanding the chances of pregnancy involves several key factors, including the timing of ovulation, the menstrual cycle, and the nature of sexual intercourse. Based on the information you provided, let's break down the situation.

1. Menstrual Cycle and Ovulation: Your last menstrual period was from April 29 to May 5. Typically, ovulation occurs about 14 days before the start of your next period. If we assume a regular cycle of around 28 days, ovulation would likely have occurred around May 13. Engaging in unprotected intercourse on May 10, 11, 17, and 18 places you in a favorable position for potential conception, especially if you ovulated around May 13.

2. Symptoms of Pregnancy: You mentioned that your period is delayed by three days, and you have been experiencing lower abdominal pain. It’s important to note that premenstrual syndrome (PMS) can cause similar symptoms to early pregnancy, including cramping and breast tenderness. However, if your period does not arrive soon, it may be worthwhile to take a home pregnancy test for confirmation.

3. Timing of Intercourse: The fact that you had unprotected intercourse during your fertile window increases the likelihood of pregnancy. Sperm can live inside the female reproductive tract for up to five days, so intercourse a few days before ovulation can still result in conception.

4. Factors Affecting Pregnancy Chances: Several factors can influence your chances of becoming pregnant, including age, overall health, and any underlying medical conditions. If you have regular menstrual cycles and no known fertility issues, your chances of conceiving are generally good during your fertile window.

5. Next Steps: If you suspect you might be pregnant, the best course of action is to take a home pregnancy test after your missed period for the most accurate result. If the test is positive, or if you continue to experience symptoms without a period, consider scheduling an appointment with your healthcare provider for further evaluation and prenatal care.

6. Psychological Preparedness: It’s also important to prepare yourself mentally for the possibility of pregnancy. This includes considering lifestyle changes, such as diet and exercise, and discussing your plans with your partner. If you are not ready for a pregnancy, it’s crucial to explore your options and seek guidance from a healthcare professional.

In summary, given the timing of your menstrual cycle and the unprotected intercourse during your fertile window, there is a reasonable chance of pregnancy. However, symptoms can be misleading, so taking a pregnancy test is the best way to confirm your status. Regardless of the outcome, maintaining open communication with your healthcare provider will help you navigate your reproductive health effectively.

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