Conception Dates and Ultrasound Accuracy in Pregnancy - Obstetrics and Gynecology

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Regarding conception dates and ultrasound issues?


Hello Dr.
Lu, I apologize for bothering you again.
I previously asked you about estimating my conception date based on my ultrasounds.
I had two different technicians perform ultrasounds around 15 weeks.
On May 3, during an abdominal ultrasound, the technician measured the gestational sac and estimated it to be about 5 weeks.
On May 12, another abdominal ultrasound showed a heartbeat, and she estimated it to be 6 weeks and 1 day.
Then on May 23, the technician said it was 8 weeks and 2 days, and on June 10, she said it was 10 weeks and 5 days.
After that, on July 11, the doctor said it was 15 weeks and 6 days, on September 9, the doctor said it was 24 weeks and 3 days, and on October 13, the doctor said it was 29 weeks and 3 days.
You mentioned that based on my early ultrasounds, the estimated conception date is around April 6 to April 13.
However, according to the ultrasounds performed by the doctors later on, how is it that the estimated conception date seems to move forward by a few days? Should we rely on the early ultrasounds for a more accurate estimation, or is it more accurate to estimate as the baby gets closer to the due date? Wishing you all the best.

ABBY, 20~29 year old female. Ask Date: 2011/10/19

Dr. Lü Lizheng reply Obstetrics and Gynecology


Dear ABBY: Hello, during the early stages of embryonic development, each embryo develops at a similar rate.
However, as the pregnancy progresses, some fetuses grow faster than others, leading to a difference of more than one kilogram in birth weight by the time of full-term delivery.
Therefore, the closer we get to the estimated due date, the greater the margin of error in predictions.
It is more accurate to estimate the date of conception based on early ultrasound findings.
Wishing you peace and health.
Sincerely, Dr.
Li-Cheng Lu, Director of the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Taoyuan Hospital, Ministry of Health and Welfare.

Reply Date: 2011/10/19

More Info


Understanding conception dates and ultrasound accuracy in pregnancy is a complex topic that often leads to confusion among expectant parents. The discrepancies in ultrasound measurements and the calculation of conception dates can arise from various factors, including the timing of the ultrasound, the growth rate of the fetus, and the regularity of the menstrual cycle.

First, it’s essential to understand how pregnancy dating works. The standard method for calculating the gestational age of a pregnancy is to start from the first day of the last menstrual period (LMP). This method assumes a regular menstrual cycle, typically around 28 days, although many women have cycles that vary in length. In your case, with a cycle averaging 32 days, this could slightly alter the expected conception date.

Ultrasound measurements are used to estimate the gestational age of the fetus and can provide more accurate dating, especially in the early stages of pregnancy. Early ultrasounds, typically performed between 6 to 12 weeks of gestation, are considered the most accurate for dating purposes. This is because, during this period, all embryos develop at a relatively similar rate. As the pregnancy progresses, individual growth rates can vary significantly, leading to potential discrepancies in gestational age estimates based on ultrasound measurements.

In your situation, you received multiple ultrasounds at different stages of your pregnancy, each providing varying estimates of gestational age. For example, the ultrasound at 5/3 indicated about 5 weeks, while the one on 5/12 showed 6 weeks and 1 day. As the pregnancy advanced, the estimates continued to change, which can be confusing. The key point to remember is that early ultrasounds are generally more reliable for determining the conception date. If the early ultrasounds suggest a conception window of 4/6 to 4/13, this is likely the most accurate estimate.

However, as the pregnancy progresses, the accuracy of ultrasound measurements can diminish. Factors such as the position of the fetus, the amount of amniotic fluid, and the skill of the technician can all influence the measurements. Therefore, while later ultrasounds can provide valuable information about fetal growth and development, they may not be as reliable for dating the pregnancy.

Regarding your question about whether to rely on early or later ultrasounds for conception dating, the consensus in obstetrics is to prioritize early ultrasounds for dating purposes. If there is a significant discrepancy between the LMP-based calculation and the ultrasound measurements, healthcare providers typically lean towards the ultrasound data, especially if it was conducted early in the pregnancy.

In conclusion, while it can be frustrating to navigate the differences in ultrasound dating and conception estimates, focusing on the early ultrasound results is generally the best approach. If you have concerns about the accuracy of your pregnancy dating or any other related issues, it’s essential to discuss them with your healthcare provider. They can provide personalized insights based on your medical history and the specifics of your pregnancy. Remember, every pregnancy is unique, and open communication with your healthcare team is vital for ensuring a healthy pregnancy journey.

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